THE INSTITUTE OF MATHEMATICS
AND ITS APPLICATIONS

2nd International Conference on

Mathematics in Sport
IMA Sport 2009

Hampshire Hotel-Plaza
Groningen, The Netherlands                            17-19 June 2009

PROGRAMME

  WEDNESDAY 17th June 200
  From 1500           Registration in the Hall of the University of Groningen Academy Building
  1700-1900           Opening Reception in Bruins zaal of the University of Groningen Academy Building


THURSDAY 18th June 2009

0840-0850

Opening remarks

0850-0930

Session Chair: Ruud Koning
Keynote

Jim Albert
Bowling Green State University, USA
Exploring Pitch F/X Data

0930-1030

Session Chair: David Percy
Sports Methodologies

Session Chair: Dries Goossens
Sports Scheduling 1

Anthony Kay
Loughborough University, UK
Orienteering route choice in hilly terrain: optimisation by calculus of variations

Mike Wright
Lancaster University Management School, UK
Three types of cricket umpire scheduling

Joanne Moffatt
University of Salford, UK
An analysis of strategy in the sprint race in track cycling

Sebastián Urrutia
Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Brazil
Scheduling the Brazilian soccer tournament by integer programming maximising audience shares under fairness constraints

 

Alireza Tajbakhsh
Sharif University of Technology, Iran
A hybrid PSO-SA Algorithm for the traveling tournament problem

1030-1100

Refreshments

1100-1220

Session Chair: Mike Wright
Sports Scheduling
2

Session Chair: Anthony Bedford
Analysing Sports Results

Kimmo Nurmi
Satakunta University of Applied Sciences, Finland
Improving the schedule of the Finnish Major Ice Hockey League

Gordon Hunter
Kingston University, UK
Can Markov models accurately simulate lawn tennis rallies?

Markus Triska
Technische Universität Wien
Local search for group-changing single round robin tournaments

Sohail Akhtar
University of Salford, UK
An analysis of declaration strategy in the first three innings in test cricket

Dries R. Goossens
K.U.Leuven, Belgium
On the existence of the carry-over effect

Ian McHale
University of Salford, UK
Assessing the fairness of the golf handicapping system in the UK

Bjorn Raupach
KaHo Sint-Lieven, Belgium
A coupled simulated annealing approach to the travelling tournament problem

Christoph Leitner
Wirtschaftsuniversitat Wien, Austria
Forecasting the winner of the UEFA Champions League 2008/09

1220-1320

Lunch

1320-1400

Session Chair: Stephen Clarke
Keynote

Gerard Sierksma
University of Groningen, Netherlands
Talent Development and Computer Support in Soccer

1400-1520

Session Chair: Paul Newton
Sports Modelling 1

Session Chair: Dimitris Karlis
Sports Strategies

Anthony Bedford
RMIT University, Australia
Risk taking in badminton to optimise in-the-run performance

Qingxia Kong
National University of Singapore
Benford's law and number selection in fixed-odds numbers games

Petr Volf
Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic
A stochastic model of process of athletic records

James Reade
University of Oxford, UK
Prediction markets vs. econometric forecasting for sports: Evaluating and explaining performance

Benoit Jottreau
University Paris-Est, France
How do markets play soccer?

Nobuyoshi Hirotsu
Juntendo University, Japan
Reconsideration of the best batting order: Is the order that maximises the expected number of runs really the best?

Stefan Kesenne
Universiteit Antwerpen
The optimal size of a sports league

Tania Churchill
University of Canberra, Australia
Correlation of training load and heart rate variability indices in elite cyclists

1520-1535

Refreshments

1535-1655

Session Chair: Ray Setefani
Understanding Who Won

Session Chair: Jim Albert
Sports Modelling 2

Liam J.A. Lenten
La Trobe University, Australia
Do unbalanced schedules cause distortions in sports league tables?

Dimitris Karlis
Athens University of Economics, Greece
Robust fitting of soccer prediction models

Niven Winchester
University of Otago, New Zealand
An Innovative Approach to National Football League Standings Using Optimal Bonus Points

Sandrine Poupaux
Deutsche Sporthochschule Köln, Germany
Some reflections about how to predict the number of medals won by a country at the summer Olympic Games

Jack Dowie
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, UK
The scoring of combined events infringes a key principle of sporting competitions

David F. Percy
University of Salford, UK
Interactive Shrinkage Methods for Class Handicapping

A. Larry Wright
Columbia University, USA
Detecting Streakiness in Sports

Douglas Fearing
MIT, USA
How to Catch a Tiger: Understanding Golfer Performance on the PGA Tour

1800

Departure for Conference Dinner


FRIDAY 19th June 2009

0900-1020

Session Chair: Liam Lenten
Understanding How to Win

Session Chair: João Carlos Soares de Mello
Performance Evaluation in Sports

Raymond Stefani
California State University, Long Beach
The Case Against Ultimate Athletic Performance

Eliane Goncalves Gomes
Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation
Two Stage Models to Assess the Significance of Contextual Variables on the Efficiency of Olympic Games Winning Countries

John Norman
Sheffield University Management School, UK
Variants of Naismith’s Rule

João Carlos Soares de Mello
Federal Fluminense University, Brazil
2008 Beijing Olympic Games: Evaluation of Teams' Performance

Stephen R. Clarke
Swinburne University of Technology, Australia
Using team doubles competition results to rate non-elite tennis players

Lidia Angulo-Meza
Federal Fluminense University, Brazil
An approach for Ranking Countries based on Data Envelopment Analysis with multiple inputs and outputs: The Pan-American Games

Paul K. Newton
University of Southern California, USA
A stochastic approach to ranking tennis players

João Carlos Soares de Mello
Universidade Federal Fluminense, Brazil Classification of the teams in the 2008 Brazilian Soccer Championship

1020-1040

Refreshments

1040-1200

Session Chair: Franc Klaassen
Tennis

Session Chair: Douglas Fearing
Sports Modelling 3

 

Jan R. Magnus
Tilburg University, Netherlands
Real-time forecasting of the winner of a tennis match

Ester Gutiérrez & Sebastián Lozano
University of Seville, Spain
A Study of the Duration of Olympic Records using Survival Analysis of Recurrent Events

Ruud H. Koning
University of Groningen, Netherlands
Home Advantage in Professional Tennis

James Reade
University of Oxford, UK
Revisiting the Calciopoli Italian Soccer Corruption Scandal

Paul K. Newton
University of Southern California, USA
A Monte Carlo approach to simulating a tennis tournament

Alun Owen
Coventry University, UK
Dynamic Bayesian Forecasting Models of Football Match Outcomes

 

Ken Taylor
University College Dublin, Ireland
A statistical test to detect tampering with lottery results

1200-1240

Session Chair: Phil Scarf
Keynote

Tony Lewis
Oxford Brookes University, UK

Experiences selling mathematics to the cricketing world: market penetration of the Duckworth-Lewis method

1240-1340

Lunch

1340-1520

Session Chair: A. Larry Wright
Sports Modelling 4

Session Chair: Ian McHale
Sports Policymaking

Leanne Streja
UCLA School of Public Health, USA
Models for Motorcycle Grand Prix Racing Times

Tom De Schryver
Radboud Universiteit Nijmegan/Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Netherlands
The application of piecewise linear models to management turnover decisions in Dutch soccer clubs

Phil Scarf
University of Salford, UK
Route choice in orienteering and Naismith's rule: age effects and isochronic hills

Muhammad Mat Yusof
University of Salford, UK
Modelling the Effect of Seeding Policy in Tournament Design

Anthony Bedford
RMIT University, Australia
Exploiting in-the-run Betting Markets in Australian Rules Football using a Brownian Motion Model

Orest V. Iftime
University of Groningen, Netherlands
Team ranking in volleyball competitions

Ron Dorsey
Hartpury College, University of the West of England, UK
The Relative Age Effect in English Test Cricket

F.H. Dadashov
National Academy of Aviation, Azerbaijan
To optimization of psychophysiological conditions of sportsman in a consulting program

1520-1530

Closing Remarks

1530-1545

Refreshments

1545

Departure for optional tour of the FC Groningen stadium; 1600-1700 guided tour

  Download Programme(PDF)

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